Micron Earnings Outlook & BofA’s Long-Term AI Growth Forecasts Through 2028

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Market Volatility Hits AI Hardware Sector Amid Strategic Pivot Concerns

The tech-heavy NASDAQ 100 experienced a sharp 2.6% decline on Tuesday as investors reassessed the aggressive momentum behind artificial intelligence stocks. The downturn was largely driven by a significant contraction in the memory chip sector, compounded by regional market instability in South Korea. While broad-market enthusiasm for AI-linked equities faced a reality check, select infrastructure-focused firms managed to decouple from the sell-off.

Key Takeaways

  • Semiconductor giants Micron (MU) and Sandisk (SNDK) retreated 11% and 13%, respectively, following reports of a production pivot away from high-bandwidth memory (HBM).
  • Bank of America analysts significantly upgraded long-term capital expenditure forecasts for 2028, bolstering price targets for Micron, Intel (INTC), and Arm Holdings (ARM).
  • Nvidia (NVDA) shares dipped 3% as industry data indicated a 31% decline in B200 rental costs between late May and June.

Sector Shifts and Memory Market Pressure

The broader sell-off was ignited by reports originating in South Korea, where heavyweights SK Hynix and Samsung Electronics saw their share prices drop by 10%. The catalyst appears to be a reported shift in manufacturing priorities, with producers allegedly scaling back investments in high-margin AI memory chips to favor standard DRAM production. This uncertainty significantly impacted U.S.-based memory leaders Micron and Sandisk, both of which were primed for a correction after posting year-to-date gains of 300% and 700%, respectively. Micron, in particular, remains in the spotlight as investors brace for its fiscal third-quarter earnings report, where analysts anticipate an adjusted EPS of $20.28 on $35.25 billion in revenue.

Infrastructure Growth and Institutional Outlook

Despite the cooling sentiment in chip production, infrastructure demand remains a focal point for institutional investors. Microsoft (MSFT) shares gained 1.9% following the completion of its $3+ billion Fairwater AI data center in Wisconsin, with plans already underway for a secondary facility slated for 2028. Supporting the long-term bullish case, Bank of America researchers revised their wafer fab equipment spending projections upward. The firm increased its 2028 forecast by 23% to $250 billion, citing improved clarity on multi-year AI capital spending. Consequently, BofA issued bullish price targets of $1,500 for Micron, $460 for Arm Holdings, and $160 for Intel.

Tech Talent Departures and Specialized Hardware Pricing

Alphabet (GOOGL) continued to face headwinds, trading lower following the loss of another high-profile researcher. The departure of Nobel Prize winner John Jumper to Anthropic—following the earlier exit of Gemini lead Noam Shazeer to OpenAI—has heightened concerns regarding the stability of Google DeepMind’s human capital. Meanwhile, the specialized hardware market showed signs of softening; rental costs for Nvidia’s B200 units slid from $6.11 per hour on May 30 to $4.22 by June 21, highlighting potential pressure on demand for high-end compute resources. Conversely, SpaceX (SPCX) provided a rare bright spot, rising 5% after announcing a $20 billion bond issuance earmarked for its xAI infrastructure development.

Original source: Read the full report.

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